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by Rugby4Cast / 22nd September 2019
Analysis World Cup 2019

Rugby World Cup – Look back at round 1

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So, the first round of matches at this year’s Rugby World Cup have been completed and what a few
days it’s been.

Super Saturday started with a bang as Fiji looked like they were on for the first shock
when beating Australia after an hour, only for the Aussies to come back and run out comfortable winners with the bonus-point.
The following game saw France edge a thriller against Argentina by just two points, thanks to a Camille Lopez drop goal in the final 15 minutes.
The stand-out tie of the weekend was the two favourites, New Zealand and South Africa, locking horns in Yokohoma in their Group B opener. The All Blacks produced a scintillating six-minute spell in the first-half, scoring 14 points, which proved definitive, as they won 23-13 to lay down a big statement.
Sunday saw the home nations take to the stage, as Ireland and Scotland went head-to-head in what was billed as a ‘winner wins the group’ match. Ireland played brilliantly and completely over- powered the Scots, winning with ease, and a bonus-point, by 27-3 score line. Before that, Italy comprehensively beat Namibia, 47-22 and later that day (our early morning) England left it late to secure the bonus-point try against Tonga but in the end, won 35-3.
The final game of the round saw Wales kick-off their campaign in Group D against Georgia. Wales ran riot in the opening 20 minutes to go 22-0 up and had the bonus-point wrapped up by half-time. Georgia improved second-half but Wales ran out comfortable winners by 43-14.
An incredibly entertaining series of games to get us underway but how well did we do? Well, out of the eight games, the algorithm correctly called ALL EIGHT winners and also predicted the exact margin of victory in two of those games, New Zealand beating the Springboks by 10 points and England beating Tonga by 32. The predictor did call the result in that All Blacks game perfectly, getting the score of 23-13 bang on.
Overall, the margin of error across the eight games was a tiny 3.38 and the algorithm was only really off on one game, which was Ireland’s margin of victory over Scotland. But to be fair, that game was a surprise as the Scots really didn’t turn up.
So all in all, an incredible start to the tournament for the Rugby4Cast and it’s algorithm, so here’s hoping we can keep the run going!
[recentpred posts=8 event=’rugby world cup’ status=’completed’]

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