by Rugby4Cast / 15th October 2019
Analysis World Cup 2019


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So, the group stages of the Rugby World Cup 2019 are over and now we get to the really exciting bit. Knock-out rugby is here and this weekend, the quarter-finals kick-off and there are four mouth-watering clashes to look ahead to.

The first of the double-header on Saturday morning sees England take on Australia in a repeat of the 2003 World Cup Final. The bookies have England as favourites at the small price of 3/10, which matches the Algorithm’s predictions, which is giving England a 79.4% chance of winning the game. The Algorithm has suggested a winning margin of nine points for that game and that also goes with the handicap the bookies have given England, which is -8. The price on England -8 is EVENS, so you can double your money or place it in an accumulator for a bigger profit.
The second QF is, arguably, the one most people are looking forward to seeing. New Zealand play Ireland in what, before the tournament, some people thought would be the final. Ireland have been inconsistent, which is why their odds of around 4/1 with the bookies are probably justified. The predictor has New Zealand to win by 13 points, which again, goes with what the bookies think. They have given a -12 point handicap to the All Blacks, which again, is around EVENS. Ireland did beat New Zealand last November and have beaten them twice in the last few years, so there is definitely some value in an Ireland victory.
Sunday sees a repeat of the 2011 World Cup semi-final, as Wales take on France. France won that semi-final 9-8 but Wales’ record against the French since then is incredibly strong, winning seven of the last eight matches. The World Cup Predictor has Wales winning by six, in what is looking like being the toughest of the QFs to call. The bookies make Wales strong favourites at 4/10 and yet again, the handicap of -7 given by the bookies, matches the predictor.
The final quarter-final sees the hosts, Japan, face South Africa. The bookies agree with what the Algorithm is predicting but this is the game where the shock could come. Japan are 7/1 with the bookies to win the match and that certainly represents good value.
Now history would tell us that not all four favourites will go through to the semi-finals and there tends to always be at least one result that goes against the grain. Japan have been the best side in the tournament so far and if they play as well as they can then there is no knowing how far they could go.
The current prediction stats show that we are 33 correct results from 37 (89.9%) with an average margin of error at 11.24 points. The bookies and the Algorithm align almost exactly for these quarter-finals, so from a betting point of view, it is definitely advised to follow the trend. However, be on the lookout for at least one shock.

Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals Predictions

[latestpredictions category=RWCQ]

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