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by Rugby4Cast / 25th July 2019
Analysis

The Rugby Championship – Round 2 Predictions

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Round 1 Results

What a great opening round for the Algorithm – 2 from 2. A perfect start.
South Africa and Australia went largely as expected with a last minute South African try taking the scoreline away from us at the death. Argentina were better than the predicted (as we thought they might be) and nearly pulled a famous win over NZ out the bag. With the win however, the All Blacks have now won 450 tests – 43 more than any other team.

Round 2 Predictions

How is round 2 going to go down? ‪South African and and New Zealand are 1 and 2 on the table at the moment, so in this shortened tournament, their match will likely decide the title. ‬The one to watch!

Title Chances

New Zealand extend their grip on the title, but as mentioned above, a win for South Africa this weekend would see them become favourites. Likewise Australia and Argentina are likely to be battling to stay out of place in their match.

World Rankings

So … what could happen if the above favourites win or lose?

However if New Zealand and Australia lose it’s a different story.

New Zealand will drop a large amount of points due to home advantage however, more interestingly, if New Zealand lose by 15 or more points the All Blacks will drop below Wales to number 2 in the world.

New Zealand v South Africa

New Zealand had a tough time away against the Argentina last weekend but are now at home where they have played, since 2000, 113 matches with a win rate of 92% (104 wins, 8 losses and 1 draw) however one thing at the back of their minds is the last of those 8 losses is against … South Africa … in Wellington … in the Rugby Championship.
Last year the Springboks secured a famous victory, winning 34 – 36 after leading 17 – 24 at half-time. They could become the first team to beat the All Blacks at home in consecutive games since 2008-09.
We have had a look at their results in previous years.

Interestingly the last three games have gone to the away side, could this happen this weekend … ?
One player to watch is Herschel Jantjies who was the first Springbok since 1937 to score a double on debut when he crossed twice against Australia last weekend. From a Kiwi perspective the exciting prospect for this match is having two 10s on the pitch with Beauden Barrett dropping to 15 and Richie Mo’unga at number 10.

Australia v Argentina

Argentina came painfully close to a historic win, eventually losing 16-20 against New Zealand in round 1. Argentina seemed to have carried over their Jaguares form from their Super Rugby campaign with their players working well together.
Wallabies coach Michael Cheika announced he has ended James O’Connor’s six-year absence from International Rugby after he was named for the match against Argentina. After a loss against the Springboks for Australia it won’t get any easier for them against a red hot Pumas outfit who pushed the All Blacks all the way. There won’t be many that disagree that Australia have been under par in recent years, and perhaps the only thing in the Wallabies favour is that this match is at home. Argentina haven’t travelled well in recent years and, although they won last time out in Australia, don’t generally have a good record down under.
We have had a look at their results in previous years.

Just like the South African and New Zealand game the favourites have an 8-2 record however, more wins have come to the team playing away than the team with home advantage. With this in mind could we possibly see an Argentina win, and see Australia slip down to 7th in the world rankings?
Tell us in the comments how you think this is going down!