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Mitre 10 2020

Hawkes Bay vs. Northland

mclean park | 16/10/2020

Hawkes Bay
Northland

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Summary

Hawkes Bay Probablity Win:

68.0%

Predicted Score

32 | 25

Northland probability win:

30.0%

Here is the Algorithm’s prediction for Hawkes Bay vs Northland on 16/10/2020, taking place at mclean park. See our smart stats below for a summary of the sides form and history, as well as how both sides' rankings have moved in Rugby4Cast’s internal rankings system

Smart Stats

These show the number of wins each side has managed in their last 10 games, sliced across various locations, events and times to give indications of form in different areas.

Hawkes Bay BEAT Northland 7 TIMES IN LAST 10 GAMES

Hawkes Bay

Hawkes Bay BEAT Northland 7 TIMES IN LAST 10 GAMES

Northland
6 wins last 10 games
General
5 wins last 10 games
8 wins last 10 games
Home
5 wins last 10 games
5 wins last 10 games
Away
2 wins last 10 games
7 wins last 10 games
H2H
3 wins last 10 games
8 wins last 10 games
Ground
0 wins last 7 games
6 wins last 10 games
Event
5 wins last 10 games

Team Standings & Rankings

Standings and rankings for both teams.

These are the current standings for Mitre 10 2020. The two sides playing are highlighted.

POS TEAM P W L D TF TA PF PA PTS
1
Image Waikato
7 6 0 1 0 0 200 138 24
2
Image Auckland
7 5 0 2 0 0 211 134 20
3
Image Tasman
7 5 0 2 0 0 243 150 20
4
Image Wellington
7 4 1 2 0 0 237 185 18
5
Image Bay Of Plenty
7 3 0 4 0 0 176 178 12
6
Image North Harbour
7 3 0 4 0 0 187 176 12
7
Image Canterbury
7 2 1 4 0 0 167 168 10

These are Rugby4Cast's internal rankings for the club sides. The difference in ranking points represents the expected difference in a match played between the two sides at a neutral venue. The two sides playing are highlighted.

POS TEAM Points Points Change Rank Change
1
Image Tasman
115.44 0.34 0
2
Image Auckland
111.75 -0.23 0
3
Image Wellington
110.77 1.40 0
4
Image Bay Of Plenty
106.72 3.34 3
5
Image North Harbour
106.38 0.24 1
6
Image Waikato
105.81 -0.66 -1
7
Image Canterbury
105.62 -3.34 -3
8
Image Hawkes Bay
99.55 1.38 0
9
Image Otago
97.49 1.22 0
10
Image Taranaki
96.92 0.66 0
11
Image Northland
89.95 -1.22 0
12
Image Counties
86.43 -1.40 0
13
Image Southland
85.68 -0.33 0
14
Image Manawatu
81.49 -1.39 0

This shows how these internal rankings have changed over time. We have taken a 6 month rolling average of the rankings in order to smooth out any severe changes in matches, which hopefully better reflects the long term changes in team strength.

Form

Browse recent matches and view head to head stats.

Hawkes Bay
PLAYED WON DRAWN LOST PTS FOR PTS AGAINST TRIES FOR TRIES AGAINST
10 6 0 4 258 234 25 27
Northland
PLAYED WON DRAWN LOST PTS FOR PTS AGAINST TRIES FOR TRIES AGAINST
10 5 0 5 247 316 16 31
Hawkes Bay
PLAYED Hawkes Bay WIN Northland WIN Hawkes Bay WIN% Northland WIN%
10 7 3 70% 30%
Northland

STANDINGS

POS TEAM PL W D L PTS
1 WAIWAI 7 6 0 1 24
2 AUCAUC 7 5 0 2 20
3 TASTAS 7 5 0 2 20
4 WELWEL 7 4 1 2 18
5 BAYBAY 7 3 0 4 12
6 NORNOR 7 3 0 4 12
7 CANCAN 7 2 1 4 10
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